Euro to US dollars exchange rate:
The 4 factors are identifies as the fundamentalof real euro to US dollars exchanges rates.
1) The international real interest rate differece between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank.
2) Relative prices in the traded and non traded goods sectors.
3) The real oil price
4) relative fiscal position of the US and Euro zone
US dollar to euro exchange is the exchange rate that attracts the most attention. Notwithstanding the comparative importance of bilateral trade links with the US. Trade with UK is to some extent more important for the euro.
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